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X-matrix of a health insurer for 2026. At the bottom, two breakthroughs for 2029; on the left, three annual objectives; at the top, three projects; on the right, four indicators with their targets. Filled and empty circles link the items of neighbouring fields in the four corners of the X, and a margin column assigns each project to IT, Benefits or Customer Service.

Hoshin Kanri

Hoshin kanri is a management method that deploys a small number of breakthrough objectives from the executive team down to the teams. Each level negotiates its target and its means with the level above, then reviews progress during the year. The Japanese term joins hoshin (方針), the everyday word for a policy or a heading, and kanri (管理), management. Japanese industry developed the method in the early 1960s as part of total quality control, and Yoji Akao documented it. The negotiation between levels, catchball, is its mechanism. The X-matrix, which the West associates with hoshin kanri, is one of its tools.

Goal

Hoshin kanri connects an organisation's strategy to the work of its teams. The executive team selects three to five breakthrough objectives, changes that take several years and several departments. Each level of the hierarchy turns its share into annual targets and projects, after negotiating them with the level above. A review at a fixed cadence, often monthly, compares progress with the targets and corrects the plan during the year.

With hoshin kanri, the executive team decides which changes the organisation makes this year. Each level then negotiates two points with the level above: who is accountable for the changes and with what resources.

The deliverable is a set of deployment documents, one per level: the objectives, their numeric targets, the projects that serve them, their owners and the review calendar. Many organisations keep it on a one-page X-matrix. Each deployed project is then run on an A3 problem-solving sheet.

Usage

When to use it

  • Breakthrough that commits several departments over several years: the cascade spreads the load and holds the course beyond one financial year.
  • Written strategy that does not reach the teams: deployment ties each project to an annual target.
  • Overloaded project portfolio: selection forces the executive team to name a few priorities and stop the rest.
  • Annual budget cycle in place: catchball runs alongside the budget.
  • Middle managers free to challenge a target: catchball assumes that right, exercised in front of senior management.
  • Project that needs a link to the strategy: the business analyst reads off the matrix which annual target the project serves and who is accountable for it.

When not to use it

  • Strategy not yet formulated: hoshin deploys a strategy without producing it; start with a SWOT analysis or another strategic analysis.
  • Environment that changes from one quarter to the next: the annual cycle reacts too late; OKRs reset at every cycle.
  • No measurement on the processes concerned: the review has nothing to compare; set up the metrics and key performance indicators first.

Description

A company practice, documented later

Several Japanese companies engaged in total quality control built hoshin kanri in parallel in the early 1960s, with no single author. Toyota wrote its first company hoshin in January 1963. By 1964 Komatsu was cascading its targets by department with its "flag method". The name appeared in 1965, in a Bridgestone study of how Deming Prize winners planned.

Yoji Akao documented and taught the method a generation later. The book he edited appeared in Japan in 1988, then in English in 1991 as Hoshin Kanri: Policy Deployment for Successful TQM. It covers the principles, the control points of daily management and cases from several Japanese companies. With Shigeru Mizuno, Akao also developed quality function deployment (QFD), a product development method built on matrices. The X-matrix comes from that method.

Few objectives, only what must change

Hoshin kanri separates two kinds of work. Daily management maintains the performance of the process as it runs: lead times, quality, costs. Hoshin delivers the few changes that daily management will not produce on its own. Liker and Shook describe both as PDCA cycles. Hoshin drives the long cycle, over months and years. Daily management drives the short one.

The executive team selects the objectives. Three to five breakthrough objectives with a three- to five-year horizon, broken down into a few annual objectives, occupy an entire organisation. Each added objective takes resources from the others, since the same managers and the same analysts carry them. An executive team that lists twelve breakthroughs has not chosen.

The annual cycle

StepWhoWhenOutput
1. Assessment of the current yearExecutive committeeSeptemberThe missed targets and their causes, recorded at the monthly reviews
2. Choice or renewal of the breakthrough objectivesExecutive committeeSeptember to OctoberThree to five breakthrough objectives with a three- to five-year horizon
3. Annual objectivesExecutive committeeOctoberThe share of each breakthrough to deliver next year, quantified
4. Catchball, level by levelExecutive team, department heads, section headsOctober to December, alongside the budgetAgreed targets and means, projects and owners, one deployment document per level
5. Announcement of the hoshinChief executiveJanuaryThe annual hoshin, known across the organisation
6. Monthly reviewsEach owner, in front of the level aboveEvery monthGaps, causes and countermeasures
7. Year-end reviewExecutive committeeDecemberThe final results, carried into the next assessment
The typical annual cycle of hoshin kanri, for a financial year that follows the calendar year. Catchball runs alongside the budget. The year-end review feeds the assessment that opens the next cycle.

Toyota's three tiers of hoshin

Toyota's company hoshin has had three tiers since its first version. The fundamental hoshin sets the company's permanent direction and has changed little in fifty years. The long-term hoshin carries the targets and countermeasures for three to five years. The annual hoshin sets the year's objectives and measures. The president decides its content himself. He used to announce the annual hoshin in his New Year speech.

The cascade

Hoshin descends level by level. The executive team hands the annual objectives to the department heads. Each one translates them into targets and means for the department, then hands them to the section heads, who do the same. The means of one level become the objectives of the level below. If the executive team wants to cut reimbursement time, the Benefits department chooses to automate invoice checking, and the section that writes the rules receives that objective.

At Toyota, the written cascade stops at the section head. Below that, group leaders work on indicators and improvement themes aligned with the hoshin, within the daily management of the shop floor. A cascade pushed down to one sheet per person reproduces management by objectives. Peter Drucker described this method in 1954. It sets individual objectives and assesses them. It says little about the means, which hoshin negotiates.

The hoshin cascade, from the executive team to daily managementThree stacked levels. At the top, the executive team. In the middle, three department heads, linked to one another by a function meetings band. At the bottom, two section heads under each department. At each handover between two levels, two arrows of equal weight: a downward arrow carries direction and target, an upward arrow carries feasibility, needs and method. Below the section heads, a separate zone, with no catchball arrow reaching it, carries daily management: indicators and themes aligned with the hoshin.Executive teamdirection and targetfeasibility, needs, methodDepartment headDepartment headDepartment headFunction meetingsSection headSection headSection headSection headSection headSection headDaily management: indicators and themes aligned with the hoshin
Hoshin descends from the executive team to the section heads. At each handover, the target and the means go back and forth until the two levels agree. The function meetings coordinate the departments with one another. Below the section head, hoshin passes into daily management.

Catchball, the negotiation between two levels

Through catchball, two levels agree on a target and its means. The word is English, adopted by Toyota and written in katakana. The upper level sends down a direction and a target. The lower level replies with what it can commit to, what it needs to deliver it and the method it would follow. The exchanges continue until both levels have clarified the target and the means, with no number of rounds fixed in advance.

The receiving level has a duty to challenge an unrealistic target, insufficient resources or a method bound to fail. This pushback tells the executive team what it cannot see. It also makes the recipient the owner of the target. The target, the scope, the resources and the method shift from one exchange to the next.

ExchangeFrom and toContent
1Executive team to BenefitsProcess 60% of invoices without manual intervention by December, against 35% today.
2Benefits to executive teamThe 60% requires checking rules for laboratory and physiotherapy invoices. On its own, the team writes the laboratory rules and so reaches 48%.
3Executive team to BenefitsA business analyst from IT is seconded until September. Physiotherapy can wait until next year.
4Benefits to executive teamCommitment to 55% in December: laboratory rules by March, radiology rules by September, rate reviewed every month.
Four catchball exchanges between the executive team of a health insurer and its Benefits department. The target, the scope and the resources change along the way. Radiology, which the department proposes in the fourth exchange, appeared in none of the earlier offers.

At the first exchange, neither party held the plan agreed at the fourth. A single top-down pass followed by one feedback session does not produce it.

Horizontal coordination

Two departments that each negotiate with the executive team can commit to contradictory plans. Customer Service promises a call back within 48 hours while Benefits reassigns the same staff to invoice checking. Toyota handles these dependencies in five standing function meetings, which coordinate the hoshin from one department to another. Four cover quality, cost, production and engineering; the fifth brings sales and human resources together. An organisation without such a forum discovers its lateral conflicts at the first review.

The X-matrix

The X-matrix is a one-page form that arranges the deployment around a central X. Its four fields are filled in this order:

  • at the bottom, the breakthrough objectives, for three to five years;
  • on the left, the annual objectives, the share of each breakthrough to deliver this year;
  • at the top, the improvement priorities, the projects that will deliver the annual objectives;
  • on the right, the indicators and their targets, which show whether the projects are advancing.

At the four corners of the X, a correlation grid marks the pairs that support each other: a filled circle for a strong link and an empty circle for a weak one. A column in the margin assigns each project to an owner. Once the fields are filled, the team marks the correlations and names the owners.

Filled in honestly, the matrix questions the plan. Does each project serve an annual objective? Does each annual objective have a project that carries it? Does each project have an owner? A row without a mark signals a project without strategy or an objective without means.

The X-matrix borrows the relationship matrix of QFD. According to Art Smalley, a Toyota veteran, Akao developed the approach, and the American consulting organisation GOAL/QPC spread the format in the United States. Smalley also cites Mark Reich, who led Toyota's hoshin process in North America for 23 years: Reich never came across the matrix at Toyota. Toyota runs its hoshin on the three-tier document, catchball, the function meetings and the reviews.

Negotiation, horizontal coordination and review stay off the page. Reich describes companies that believed their objectives were aligned because the form was filled in correctly. They were practising management by objectives, in which the level above states what it needs and the level below must supply it. A correlation mark records a catchball; it does not replace one.

The in-year review

The executive team reviews the hoshin at a fixed cadence, often monthly. Each owner presents the gap between the indicator and its target, the cause of the gap and the countermeasure, on the A3 sheet of the project. A missed target triggers a root cause analysis. If the executive team punishes the owner, the next catchball produces targets calibrated to be met.

IndicatorBaselineDec. targetJan.Feb.Mar.Apr.MayJune
M1 Median reimbursement time, in working days11711 / 1111 / 1110 / 1010 / 109 / 10 ▼9 / 9
M2 Invoices without intervention, in %355535 / 3536 / 3638 / 3845 / 41 ▼48 / 46 ▼48 / 48
M3 Annual cancellation rate, in %9.08.09.0 / 9.09.0 / 8.98.9 / 8.98.8 / 8.88.7 / 8.68.6 / 8.6
M4 Complaints called back within 48 h, in %709575 / 7680 / 8185 / 8688 / 8990 / 9192 / 93
Monthly review of the four indicators of the matrix, from January to June 2026. Each cell gives the target for the month, then the actual. The ▼ sign marks a missed target, which triggers a root cause analysis.

From the 1960s to the 1980s, Toyota supplemented these reviews with audits presented to the president. Four to six themes went through them each year: ten minutes of presentation on a double-sided A3, five minutes of questions, then written feedback that the president drafted himself.

Hoshin kanri and OKRs

Both methods cascade quantified objectives from one level to the next, and people confuse them. Their mechanisms differ.

Hoshin kanriOKRs
What cascadesThree to five breakthrough objectives for the whole organisationOne to three objectives per team, each with three to five key results
HorizonBreakthrough over three to five years, annual targetOne cycle, the quarter by default, then a reset
NegotiationTarget and means, level by level, until agreementKey results, with management and neighbouring teams, at the start of the cycle
Nature of the targetCommitment to a negotiated targetCommitted or aspirational; an aspirational result partly achieved is healthy
ScopeWhat must change; the rest belongs to daily managementWhat must move during the cycle
ReviewFixed cadence, often monthly, on the gap and its causeWeekly check-ins, score from 0.0 to 1.0 at the close
Hoshin kanri commits an organisation to a few multi-year breakthroughs, negotiated level by level. OKRs set results per team for one cycle, then start again from zero.

Liker and Shook describe the most frequent failure of hoshin: rebranded management by objectives, sometimes labelled OKRs, with a cascade of indicators imposed from the top. This version has neither the catchball of hoshin nor the reset of OKRs.

Neighbouring techniques

The Balanced Scorecard measures a strategy across four perspectives. Hoshin kanri deploys it. The Balanced Scorecard helps choose the breakthrough objectives, and its measures feed the right-hand field of the matrix. These measures are key performance indicators, designed like any other KPI. VMOST analysis checks after the fact that the tactics still serve the vision; hoshin sets those tactics at the outset.

AI considerations

A language model checks a matrix for consistency. Given the list of objectives, projects and indicators, it flags the row without a mark, the indicator that no project moves and the owner who carries five projects. It also spots an annual objective phrased as a task, "roll out the new tool", where the page expects a quantified result.

It prepares catchball. Before replying to the level above, a department head gives the model the target, the headcount and the figures for the year. The model lists the constraints and lateral dependencies to put on the table. During the year, it condenses the project A3s into a review note, provided that every figure comes from the records.

The negotiation is beyond it. Catchball makes the recipient the owner of the target, and a counter-proposal drafted by a model belongs to nobody. The choice of breakthrough objectives is beyond it too, because that choice commits people and a budget for several years. Finally, the company hoshin contains the organisation's unpublished strategy. It goes into an assistant only with the executive team's agreement, on a tool whose data retention is known.

Examples

A health insurer in French-speaking Switzerland finalises its 2026 X-matrix at the end of catchball.

X-matrix of a health insurer for 2026An X-matrix in three columns by three rows. At the bottom, the two breakthroughs for 2029. On the left, the three annual objectives. At the top, the three projects. On the right, the four indicators and their targets. At the four corners, a correlation grid links the neighbouring fields with filled circles for a strong link and empty circles for a weak one. A margin column, on the right, assigns each project to IT, Benefits or Customer Service.2026 projects2029 breakthroughs2026 annual objectivesIndicators and targetsI1I2I3A1A2A3P1P2A1A2A3I1I2I3M1M2M3M4P1P2M1M2M3M4I1Automatic capture of paperinvoicesI2Checking rules for laboratory andradiologyI3Callback within 48 h forpolicyholders who complainP1Reimburse 90% of invoices within 5working days at mostP2Bring cancellations under 6% ayearA1Median reimbursementtime: from 11 to 7working daysA2Invoices processedwithout intervention:from 35% to 55%A3Cancellations: from9% to 8%M1Median reimbursementtime: 7 working daysat mostM2Invoices withoutintervention: 55% atleastM3Annual cancellationrate: 8% at mostM4Complaints calledback within 48 h: 95%at leaststrong linkweak linkOwnersITBenefitsCustomer ServiceI1I2I3
X-matrix of a health insurer for 2026. Two breakthroughs for 2029, three annual objectives, three projects and four indicators, linked by filled circles for a strong link and empty circles for a weak one. The right-hand column names the owner of each project.

The filled circles trace a breakthrough objective across the page. Breakthrough P1, reimbursement within five working days, leads to annual objectives A1 and A2. These two objectives lead to projects I1 and I2, automatic capture and the checking rules. These projects move indicators M1 and M2, and the margin assigns them to IT and to Benefits. The 55% rate on the left comes from the fourth catchball exchange; the executive team had opened with 60%.

Visualisations

The X-matrix fits on one page, with its filled and empty circles. A table of rows and columns would lose the corners, which carry the correlations. The A3 sheet of each project carries its target, the root cause analysis, the countermeasures and the follow-up.

The monthly review reads from an indicator table that lean practice calls a bowling chart: one row per indicator, one column per month, the target and the actual in each cell. Each indicator shows its baseline, without which a percentage says nothing about the effort required. Each missed target carries a sign that reads without colour, because colour-blind readers cannot tell red from green.

Cost

DimensionLevelJustification
PreparationHighThe executive team reviews the past year and chooses three to five breakthrough objectives. That choice takes several meetings of the executive committee.
ExecutionHighCatchball takes several weeks at each level, then the reviews come back every month for the whole year.
DocumentationMediumOne page per level and one A3 sheet per project, updated at each review.

Tooling

An A3 sheet posted in the review room is enough for the hoshin of a department. It makes the targets public, and the team corrects it in pencil during the meeting.

A spreadsheet holds the X-matrix, whose corners become grids of cells. It also holds the monthly series of indicators, which the year-end review rereads.

A digital whiteboard such as Miro or Mural holds an X-matrix template when the negotiating levels do not share a room.

Strategy deployment software such as i-nexus or KPI Fire links objectives, projects and indicators in one database. It pays off when several levels and several sites feed the same review. It risks reducing catchball to a form-approval workflow.

At team level, visual management boards carry the indicators aligned with the hoshin. There, hoshin meets daily management.

Sources

Histogram
All techniques
Human in the Loop